华东师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版) ›› 2005, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (2): 95-101.doi: 10.16382/j.cnki.1000-5579.2005.02.015

• 金融问题研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

论东亚货币合作的目标与路径选择

黄济生, 冉生欣   

  • 收稿日期:2004-09-07 出版日期:2005-03-25 发布日期:2005-02-25
  • 作者简介:黄济生(195l一),男,上海市人,华东师范大学商学院金融学系教授,博士生导师|冉生欣(1964一),男,上海市人.华东师范大学商学院金融学系博士生

On the Goal and Pathway of East Asian Monetary Cooperation

Ji sheng HUANG, Sheng xin RAN   

  • Received:2004-09-07 Online:2005-03-25 Published:2005-02-25

摘要:

自罗伯特·蒙代尔提出最优货币区理论以来, 有关货币区的理论得到了极大的发展。根据这一理论, 东亚货币合作的必要性是显而易见的, 但在选择其目标与路径时, 必须进行系统的分析。通过对相关因素的剖析以及欧元区的比较研究后可以发现, 东亚货币合作大致上应该经历四个阶段的发展, 最终实现以"钉住固定汇率制"为基础的东亚货币合作区; 东亚货币区合理的货币锚不应是美元或欧元, 而可能是人民币或日元, 亦或是人民币与日元的某种结合。

关键词: 东亚货币合作, 目标选择, 路径选择

Abstract:

Based on looking back to the theories related to optimum currency areas and the status quo of East Asian monetary cooperation, this paper makes a systematic and comparative analysis of the difference between East Asian and Euro areas, and most importantly, of some issues on East Asian mon-etary coopperation, including its necessity, likelihood, goal and pathway. The conclusion is that, as a currency area, the so-called 'fixed-pegged exchange rate regime' should be carried out among East Asian countries. And to achieve the very goal, the highlight is that the cooperation should necessarily go through four phases.

Key words: East Asian monetary cooperation, goal decision, pathway decision

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