网络出版日期: 2017-07-14
基金资助
国家自然科学基金“不确定性在房地产市场中的微观传导机制和效应：基于居民住房决策的研究”（项目号：71673154）
Influence of Industrial Structure and Human Resource on Cities: From a Perspective of Housing Supply Elasticity
伴随经济新常态的到来，以及供给侧改革的展开，中国城市相继出台人口和产业调整政策，积极探索可持续的城市发展道路。城市人口、劳动力市场和住房市场是城市体系的重要组成部分，因此，有必要探讨城市采取上述调整策略时对它们的影响。基于Glaeser等（2006）提出的住房供给和城市发展理论模型，通过对中国地级及以上城市2005—2013年统计数据的实证分析后发现，住房供给弹性是联系住房市场与城市宏观经济的重要渠道：以产业结构和人力资本为代表的经济增长驱动因素对城市人口、工资和房价带来影响时，住房供给富有弹性的城市表现出较快的人口增速和较小的工资和房价涨幅。该机制从供给角度揭示了住房市场在人口及产业政策制定过程中的作用，对实现城市可持续发展具有重要借鉴作用。
杨赞 , 杨鸿杰 , 樊颖 . 产业结构和人力资本对城市的影响——基于住房供给视角[J]. 华东师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版), 2017 , 49(4) : 130 -136 . DOI: 10.16382/j.cnki.1000-5579.2017.04.017
Along with the economic context of New Normal, and the development of supply side reform, Chinese cities have successively introduced adjustment policy regarding to population and industry, and actively explored healthy and sustainable development path. Given the role of housing market in shaping urban economic and social environment as well as the benefit for urban transformation, it is necessity to explore the relationship between housing market and urban basic structure such as population and industry. Referring to the empirical analysis of the housing supply and urban development theory proposed by Glaeser et al.(2006), this thesis finds that the housing supply elasticity is an important channel to link the housing market and the urban macro economy based on the data of Chinese prefecture-level cities between 2005 and 2013. Cities with elastic housing supply market tend to display faster population growth as well as smaller increase in wage and housing price, facing employment demand shock. Based on the mechanism, this thesis reveals the role of housing market on designing policies on population and industry, which provides significant reference for sustainable development of cities.
Key words： housing supply; industrial structure; human resource; urban development
陈治国、李成友、刘志有,2015,《中国城市土地供给政策对住房价格和城市发展影响研究》,《现代财经》第9期。
刘洪玉、杨帆,2012,《中国主要城市住房供给价格弹性估计与比较研究》,《社会科学辑刊》第6期。
刘学良,2014,《中国城市的住房供给弹性、影响因素和房价表现》,《财贸经济》第4期。
龙奋杰、郭明,2009,《土地供给对中国城市增长的影响研究》,《城市发展研究》第6期。
龙奋杰、李一、王轶军,2008,《中国主要城市住宅供给与城市增长的实证分析》,《清华大学学报(自然科学版)》第48卷第9期。
Bischoff O., 2012, "Explaining Regional Variation in Equilibrium Real Estate Prices and Income", Journal of Housing Economics, Vol.21, No.1.
Cameron G., Muellbauer J. and Murphy A., 2006, "Housing Market Dynamics and Regional Migration in Britain", Economics, Vol.35, No.4.
Glaeser E.L., Gyourko J. and Saks R.E., 2006, "Urban Growth and Housing Supply", Journal of Economic Geography, Vol.6, No.1.
Green R.K., Malpezzi S. and Mayo S.K., 2005, "Metropolitan-Specific Estimates of the Price Elasticity of Supply of Housing, and Their Sources", American Economic Review, Vol.95, No.2.
Kim J.H., 2011, "Linking Land Use Planning and Regulation to Economic Development: A Literature Review", Journal of Planning Literature, Vol.26, No.1.
Mulder C.H., 2006, "Population and Housing: A Two-sided Relationship", Demographic Research, Vol.15, No.4.
Saiz A., 2010, "The Geographic Determinants of Housing Supply", The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol.125, No.3.
Saks R.E., 2005, "Job Creation and Housing Construction: Constraints on Metropolitan Area Employment Growth", Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System(U.S.).
Vermeulen W. and Ommeren J.V., 2009, "Does Land Use Planning Shape Regional Economies? A Simultaneous Analysis of Housing Supply, Internal Migration and Local Employment Growth in the Netherlands", Journal of Housing Economics, Vol.18, No.4.
/
| 〈 |
|
〉 |
国家社会科学基金学术期刊资助入选期刊