华东师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版) >

2007 , Vol. 39 >Issue 3: 19 - 24

DOI: https://doi.org/10.16382/j.cnki.1000-5579.2007.03.004

世界史研究

美国情报部门对中国核武器计划的评估与预测(1955—1967)

  • 詹欣
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  • 华东师范大学 历史学系, 上海 200062
詹欣(1971—), 男, 江苏扬州人, 华东师范大学国际冷战史研究中心博士后流动站研究人员, 东北师范大学政法学院副教授

收稿日期: 2007-01-24

  网络出版日期: 2007-05-25

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The United States Intelligence Community's Assessment and Forecast of China's Nuclear Weapon Program (1955-1967)

  • Xin ZHAN
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  • Department of History, East China Normal University, Shanghai 200062, China

Received date: 2007-01-24

  Online published: 2007-05-25

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摘要

从1955年中国开始决定研制核武器, 到1967年成功进行氢弹试验, 中国在核技术方面取得了飞速的发展。尽管美国情报部门对中国首次核试验的核装料发生明显的误判, 也低估了中国在热核武器上的能力, 但从整体上基本勾勒了中国核武器计划的全貌。

关键词： 中央情报局; 核武器; 国家情报评估

本文引用格式

詹欣 . 美国情报部门对中国核武器计划的评估与预测(1955—1967)[J]. 华东师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版), 2007 , 39(3) : 19 -24 . DOI: 10.16382/j.cnki.1000-5579.2007.03.004

Abstract

From 1955 onward China intended to develop nuclear weapons and till 1967 it conducted a thermonuclear test successfully.China made accelerated progress in its nuclear techniques.Even though the United States intelligence community made a clearly wrong judgment on the fissionable material of China's first nuclear test and underestimated China's capabilities of developing thermonuclear weapons, it outlined the Chinese nuclear weapon program on the whole.

Key words： CIA; nuclear weapon; national intelligence estimate (NIE)

参考文献

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