金融问题探讨

国际汇率制度选择的博弈论分析

  • 岳华
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岳华(1968—), 女,陕西西安人,华东师范大学商学院副教授,博士

收稿日期: 2005-06-01

  网络出版日期: 2005-06-25

An Analysis of the Choice of International Exchange Rate Regimes in the Perspective of the Game Theory

  • Hua YUE
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Received date: 2005-06-01

  Online published: 2005-06-25

摘要

博弈论和激励理论已运用于国际汇率制度选择的研究领域。国际汇率制度选择是一种“博弈”, 参与国根据其收益与成本进行选择。博弈过程分为两阶段, 第一阶段是不同利益集团选择汇率制度的博弈, 第二阶段是参与国政策行为的博弈, 其结果必将表现为固定与浮动之间某种程度的结合。对于固定汇率制, 一国很难决策是否加入, 因为这涉及各成员国之间的合作问题; 相反, 一国却很容易决策放弃固定汇率制, 因为这只涉及本国的意愿。这一理论说明了亚洲货币一体化进程的艰难。

本文引用格式

岳华 . 国际汇率制度选择的博弈论分析[J]. 华东师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版), 2005 , 37(6) : 105 -112 . DOI: 10.16382/j.cnki.1000-5579.2005.06.015

Abstract

The choice of international exchange rate regimes is like a game since those countries participating in a specific system will make their choices just according to their cost and benefit.All exchange rate regimes must deal with the tradeoff between rule and discrition, as well as between cooperation and independence.Generally speaking, a country's tradeoff is between consulting and acting in unison with other countries, that is, cooperation, or it operates as a member of the community but acts on its own, that is, independence.

参考文献

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