收稿日期: 2006-11-03
网络出版日期: 2007-03-25
The Opening-up of China's Capital Account and Its Adjustment of International Payment Balance——A Theory and Positive Analysis of Dynamic Linkage between Interest Rate and Exchange Rate
Received date: 2006-11-03
Online published: 2007-03-25
徐雪萌 , 蓝发钦 . 资本账户开放与中国国际收支的调节——基于利率—汇率联动机制的理论和实证分析[J]. 华东师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版), 2007 , 39(2) : 72 -77 . DOI: 10.16382/j.cnki.1000-5579.2007.02.012
China's asymmetric capital control during the process of opening its capital account, as well as insufficient liberalization of its economy, is reflected in the Mundel-Flemming model with the slope of BP line in M-F model bigger than LM line.Therefore, effects of monetary policy, fiscal policy and exchange rate policy will be weakened under a fixed exchange rate regime in terms of their adjustment to balance of payment.An adoption of a flexible exchange rate regime, however, will greatly enhance those effects.As a result, China is advised to proceed with opening its capital account and speed up liberalization of the interest rate and exchange rate system so as to heighten effectiveness of adjusting to its balance of payment.
Key words: capital account opening; balance of payment; M-F model
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