华东师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版) ›› 2006, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (5): 1-9.doi: 10.16382/j.cnki.1000-5579.2006.05.001

• 社会经济发展研究 •    下一篇

中国东部地区三大都市圈人口迁移与经济增长极化研究

王桂新1, 毛新雅2, 张伊娜1   

  1. 1. 复旦大学 人口研究所/城市与区域发展研究中心,上海 200433
    2. 中国浦东干部学院 教学研究部,上海 201204
  • 收稿日期:2006-08-10 出版日期:2006-09-15 发布日期:2006-09-30
  • 作者简介:王桂新(1953— ),男,山东诸城人, 复旦大学人口研究所/城市与区域发展研究中心教授, 博士生导师|毛新雅(1974— ),女,新疆塔城人,中国浦东干部学院教学研究部讲师,博士|张伊娜(1980— ),女,上海市人, 复旦大学人口研究所博士

The Population Migration and Economic Polarized Growth in Three Metropolitan Regions of East China

Gui-xin WANG1, Xin-ya MAO2, Yi-na ZHANG1   

  1. 1. Institute of Population Research, Fudan University, Shanghai 200433, China
    2. China Executive Leadership Academy Pudong, Shanghai 201204, China
  • Received:2006-08-10 Online:2006-09-15 Published:2006-09-30

摘要:

根据增长极理论, 在考察改革开放以来中国东部地区三大都市圈(省际)人口迁移特征的基础上, 分析人口迁移对三大都市圈经济增长极化的作用关系, 可以发现: 人口向三大都市圈的迁移集中促进了其经济的增长极化; 受日趋活跃的人口迁移影响, 20世纪80年代中期以来三大都市圈经济的增长极化曲线呈单调上升二次函数增长趋势, 显示其已进入一个新的加速成长和发展阶段。但目前人口迁入重心已明显由北南移, 三大都市圈人口净迁移流场分布模式也已逐步由“三极”集中向相对“一极”化模式转变。我们应改变这种趋势, 以形成东部地区三大都市圈“三极”并存、相互促进的都市圈空间发展模式。

关键词: 三大都市圈, 人口迁移, 经济增长, 极化作用

Abstract:

Mainly according to a growth pole theory and based on researches of features of Chinese inter - provincial migration since the opening up and reform, this paper makes an analysis of population migration's influence on the economic polarized growth in three metropolitan regions, and finds that population centralization there boosts economic polarized growth mainly through its stimulating quick developments of service industry. It is also found that because of an increasingly migration, the economic growth curve shows itself a monotonous rise quadratic. This indicates that the economic growth in the three metropolitan regions has entered a new and accelerating stage. However, the immigration emphasis has obviously transferred from the north to the south. That is to say, the spatial distribution model of immigration flow has changed spatial model on gradually from "throe poles" to "single pole". Therefore, the model should be changed and a new the three metropolitan regions' coexistence and mutual facilitation should be built up.

Key words: three metropolitan regions, population migration, economic growth, polarized effect

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