华东师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版) ›› 2006, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (6): 62-65, 82.doi: 10.16382/j.cnki.1000-5579.2006.06.010

• 贸易与投资问题研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

影响中国纺织品服装出口的市场因素——一个侧重于供给和汇率因素的解析

董小麟, 陈洁雄   

  1. 广东外语外贸大学 国际经贸学院,广东广州 510420
  • 收稿日期:2006-09-06 出版日期:2006-11-15 发布日期:2006-11-30
  • 作者简介:董小麟(1951-),男, 浙江嘉兴人,广东外语外贸大学国际经贸学院教授|陈洁雄(1982-),男,广东肇庆人,广东外语外贸大学国际贸易专业硕士研究生

Market Factors Affecting China's Export of Textile and Clothing——An Analysis of Emphasizing NEER and Domestic Supply

Xiao-lin DONG, Jie-xiong CHEN   

  1. College of Foreign Trade, Guangdong University of Foreign Studies, Guangzhou 510420, China
  • Received:2006-09-06 Online:2006-11-15 Published:2006-11-30

摘要:

中国的纺织品出口在本国出口和国际纺织品出口中占有很大份额。运用时间序列方法分析影响中国纺织品服装出口的因素, 可以发现, 国内供给是纺织品服装出口长期增长的主要原因, 而贸易伙伴国(地)的经济波动和名义有效汇率对中国出口的影响相对较小。中国要继续建立纺织品出口的长期竞争优势, 必须提高应对贸易摩擦的能力以及加快改革汇率制度, 使汇率的价格杠杆作用有效发挥出来。

关键词: 纺织品, 出口, 国内供给, 汇率

Abstract:

China's export of textile and clothing possesses a large share both in its domestic export and in the inter- national export of textile and clothing.The factors that effect China's export of textile and clothing are analyzed here by means of applying a co-integration test.The conclusion indicates that domestic supply is the most remarkable reason for a long-term increase of export, and trade partner countries'GDP and China's NEER are relatively less important.In accordance with the conclusion China should enforce its long-term competitive advantages, improve its skills of resolving trade frictions, and quicken its reform on the exchange rate system.

Key words: textile and clothing, export, domestic supply, exchange rate

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