华东师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版) ›› 2006, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (5): 10-14.doi: 10.16382/j.cnki.1000-5579.2006.05.002

• 社会经济发展研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

近年来上海市人口分布变动的空间特征分析

俞路1, 张善余2   

  1. 1. 上海海事大学 经济管理学院，上海 200135
    2. 华东师范大学 人口研究所，上海 200062
  • 收稿日期:2006-05-31 出版日期:2006-09-15 发布日期:2006-09-30
  • 作者简介:俞路（1976—), 男，上海市人，上海海事大学经济管理学院讲师，博士|张善余（1942—), 男，江苏镇江人，华东师范大学人口研究所教授，博士生导师

An Analysis of Spatial Features of Population Distribution Alteration in Recent Shanghai

Lu YU1, Shan-yu ZHANG2   

  1. 1. College of Economics & Management, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai 200135, China
    2. Institute of Population Studies, East China Normal University, Shanghai 200062, China
  • Received:2006-05-31 Online:2006-09-15 Published:2006-09-30

RichHTML

8

被引次数

49

摘要：

通过对2000—2003年上海市乡镇人口密度变化率的空间相关性分析, 发现上海市近几年人口分布空间变动格局表现为以中心城区为中心的环状分布模式, 中心城区和远郊区人口密度变化小、人口增长缓慢, 而近郊区人口密度变化大、人口增长迅速。全市人口密度变化率存在着显著的空间集聚现象, 4种类型的空间关联在空间分布上具有明显的规律性。研究结果表明, 目前上海市人口郊区化趋势明显, 高人口密度区域在不断向外扩张, 由此可以判断未来上海人口分布的区域变化方向。

关键词: 人口分布, 空间自相关分析, 空间特征, 上海市

Abstract:

This paper makes an analysis of the situation of population distribution in Shanghai during the period from 2000 to 2003.While using the spatial autocorrelation method to analyze population density of villages and towns, it is found that the spatial population distribution of the city is characterized by an increasing ring of population surrounding the central zone of Shanghai.The research result also indicates that Shanghai's population suburbanization is developing very quickly and a lot of near suburbs will become highly-density regions.Population distribution has increasingly become related to economic, traffic and other social development factors.

Key words: population distribution, spatial autocorrelation analysis, spatial feature, Shanghai Municipality

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