华东师范大学(哲学社会科学版) ›› 2013, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (3): 121-127.

• 房地产经济研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国房价收入比的城市分异研究

丁祖昱   

  1. 华东师范大学商学院,上海,200241
  • 出版日期:2013-05-15 发布日期:2013-05-24
  • 通讯作者: 丁祖昱
  • 作者简介:丁祖昱

On the Differentiation of Housing Price to Income Ratio in Chinese Cities

DING Zu-yu   

  • Online:2013-05-15 Published:2013-05-24
  • Contact: DING Zu-yu
  • About author:DING Zu-yu

摘要: 房价收入比是国际上衡量房价与居民收入是否匹配的一个重要指标。房价收入比具有强烈的地域性,各类城市之间房价收入比存在着较大的差异。运用位序—规模分析法对2006—2010年中国287个地级以上城市房价收入比进行计量分析,并应用主成分分析法、聚类分析法等将中国287个地级以上城市划为一线、二线、三线、四线、资源型城市五种类型,在此基础之上分析中国房价收入比的城市差异,其结果表明:(1)2006—2010年中国房价收入比的城市分异呈现出扩大的趋势,大城市的房价收入比上涨更为明显;(2)从一线城市到四线城市,房价收入比整体呈现出下降的态势;(3)资源型城市房价收入比介于三线与四线城市之间;(4)回归分析表明,城市化率对房价收入比有较强的正面影响,GDP对房价收入比的正面影响较为微弱。

关键词: 房价收入比, 城市分类, 位序&mdash, 规模分析, 回归分析, 城市分异

Abstract: As an important index that measures whether the housing price matches people’s income, housing price to income ratio has strong regional characteristics. The housing price to income ratio varies in China’s different cities. This thesis uses the rank-size analysis method to study the major trends of housing price to income ratio of 287 Chinese cities from 2006 to 2010, and then uses the principal component analysis and cluster analysis methods to divide Chinese Cities into five types and analyzes the detail of this ratio in each type city. The result shows that: (1) The differentiation of housing price to income ratio in Chinese Cities shows a trend of expansion from 2006 to 2010, and big cities’ ratios rose more obviously. (2) From the first-tier cities to the fourth tier cities, housing price to income ratio showed a downward trend; (3) Resource-based cities’ housing price to income ratio was between the third-tier cities and fourth-tier cities. (4) Regression analysis shows that urbanization rate had positive influences on housing price to income ratio, but GDP had weak positive influence.