华东师范大学(哲学社会科学版) ›› 2013, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (3): 128-136.

• 房地产经济研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于IO模型的房地产业与金融业关联关系分析 
——以长三角地区为例的实证研究

谢福泉 黄俊晖   

  1. 华东师范大学商学院，上海，200241
  • 出版日期:2013-05-15 发布日期:2013-05-24
  • 通讯作者: 谢福泉,黄俊晖
  • 作者简介:谢福泉,黄俊晖
  • 基金资助:

    本文为上海市人民政府发展研究中心热点课题(2011GR28)的阶段性成果。

The Relationship between Real Estate and Financial Industries Based on I-O Model: Empirical Research on the Case of Yangtze River Delta

XIE Fu-quan & HUANG Jun-hui   

  • Online:2013-05-15 Published:2013-05-24
  • Contact: XIE Fu-quan & HUANG Jun-hui
  • About author:XIE Fu-quan & HUANG Jun-hui

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摘要： 量化房地产业与金融业之间的关联关系，针对存在的缺陷制定相应的政策，对于保障房地产业的发展与金融业的发展都具有重大的现实意义。以长三角地区为例，利用投入产出分析，从前向、后向和环向层面准确量化房地产业与金融业的关联关系，并通过国际比较后发现，该区域房地产业对金融业的依赖程度过高，甚至远高于国际水平;房地产业与金融业、建筑业的共同关联关系存在着一定程度上的不合理，导致代表实物的建筑业与房地产业的关联关系下降;房地产业与其产业自身的关联程度过弱;长三角区域内部各省市之间存在着一定的差异，且其原因比较复杂。从长期看，要真正解决长三角乃至更大范围内房地产业对金融业过度依赖等上述问题，关键要从两个方面入手，即“改革创新”与“防范风险”。

关键词: 长三角, 房地产业, 金融业, 产业关联关系

Abstract: It is crucial to quantize the relationship between real estate and financial industries and to make countermeasures against existing drawbacks for their development. Taking Yangtze River Delta as an example, using the input-output analysis to quantize the relationship between real estate and financial industries, and comparing with that in different countries, we find that in this area, real estate industry depends too much on financial industry; the dependency is much above the international level; and to some extent, the correlation between real estate industry, financial industry and construction industry has some unreasonable factors, which lead to weaken the relationship between real estate industry and construction industry. Also, real estate industry has too weak connections with itself. There are some differences among provinces in Yangtze River Delta, and causes of these differences are complicated. In the long term, in order to solve the above-mentioned problems in or even beyond Yangtze River Delta, we should start from two directions: one is “reform and innovation”, the other is “risk precaution”.