华东师范大学(哲学社会科学版) ›› 2015, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (6): 129-139.doi: 10.16982/j.cnki.1000-5579.2015.06.016

• 当下经济问题研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

技术差距与经济增长收敛性:来自省际面板数据的实证检验

董直庆,宋伟,赵景   

  1. 1.吉林大学数量经济研究中心,吉林长春,130012;2.华东师范大学经济与管理学部,上海,200241;3.东北师范大学经济学院,吉林长春,130117
  • 出版日期:2015-11-15 发布日期:2015-12-13
  • 通讯作者: 董直庆,宋伟,赵景
  • 作者简介:董直庆,宋伟,赵景
  • 基金资助:

    本文系国家自然科学基金项目“要素和技术耦合视角下技术进步偏向性的形成机理、路径转换和跨国传递机制研究” (71573088)、国家社科基金面上项目“中等收入阶段中国技术进步方向和生产率提升研究”(14BJL031)、国家社科基金重点项目“新常态下我国经济增长动力转换和新增长点培育研究”(15AZD002)和上海市“曙光计划”项目(22115027)的阶段性成果。

Technology Gap, Convergence of Economic Growth: Empirical Test Based on Provincial Panel Data

DONG Zhi-Qing,SONG Wei,ZHAO Jing   

  • Online:2015-11-15 Published:2015-12-13
  • Contact: DONG Zhi-Qing,SONG Wei,ZHAO Jing
  • About author:DONG Zhi-Qing,SONG Wei,ZHAO Jing

摘要: 将技术差距引入内生技术增长模型,结合1997—2013年我国地区面板数据,通过模型和实证检验考察技术差距与经济增长和经济收敛性关系,结果发现:(1)技术进步表现出倒V型走势且地区阶梯性特征突出,技术差距与经济增长存在非线性关系,技术进步对经济增长作用的门限效应显著。其中,东部地区普遍位于门限值左侧而中西部地区则处于右侧。(2)宏观经济和地区经济分别表现出收敛和俱乐部收敛特征,东部地区平均年均收敛速度要大于西部地区,技术差距扩大将阻碍技术进步和经济增长。因此,我国各地区应准确定位自身技术水平及经济水平,选择与本地区资源禀赋相契合的技术;就已经跨越技术差距门限值的少数东部发达地区而言,应更加注重自主创新;调整人力资本结构以适配物质资本积累、经济发展水平和引入技术水平,引导人力资本从东部和发达地区向中部和西部地区流动,加强基础教育并建设多层次教育体系,保证人力资本长效性和多层次性,注重培养专业型人才以解决其供需失衡问题。

Abstract: Introduce the technology gap to endogenous technology growth model, and with our country region in panel data of 1997-2013, to examine the relationship of the technology gap, economic growth and economic convergence. The results show that: (1) Technological progress shows inverted V-shaped direction and area’s feature is outstanding, the technology gap and economic growth exists nonlinear relation, and the threshold effect is remarkable. Among these, the eastern region is generally located in the left of the threshold and the central and western regions are in the right. (2) The macro economics and regional economics behave the convergence and club convergence respectively, and the eastern average annual convergence speeds faster than the western region’s, and the technical gap increase will hinder technological progress and growth. Therefore, areas of our country should pinpoint their technology level and economic level, and select technology which corresponding their resources endowment; the minority of developed eastern areas which has across the threshold of the technology gap should pay more attention to independent innovation; and adjust the structure of human capital in order to fit physical capital accumulation, economic development level and the level of technology introduction, guide human capital from the eastern developed regions to central and western regions, strengthen basic education and construct multi-level education system, guarantee the long-term effectiveness and multi levels of human capital, training professional experts in order to solve the imbalance between supply and demand.