Journal of East China Normal University (Philosophy and Social Sciences) ›› 2022, Vol. 54 ›› Issue (5): 161-174.doi: 10.16382/j.cnki.1000-5579.2022.05.015
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Yun-he LI, Lin-ran ZHU, Zhuo-hong TAN, Zhang-yu QIAN
Accepted:
2022-08-12
Online:
2022-09-15
Published:
2022-09-24
Yun-he LI, Lin-ran ZHU, Zhuo-hong TAN, Zhang-yu QIAN. Can Distressed Companies Get out of Financial Distress through M&A?[J]. Journal of East China Normal University (Philosophy and Social Sciences), 2022, 54(5): 161-174.
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变量名 | 观测样本 | Mean | SD | Min | Median | Max |
Panel A:被解释变量:财务绩效 | ||||||
ΔROA | 4 806 | ?0.001 | 0.095 | ?0.101 | ?0.005 | 0.645 |
ΔROE | 4 806 | ?0.002 | 0.123 | ?0.521 | ?0.002 | 0.338 |
Panel B:解释变量:并购指标 | ||||||
MA | 4 806 | 0.109 | 0.049 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Panel C:控制变量 | ||||||
Asset | 4 806 | 21.021 | 1.297 | 14.48 | 21.418 | 30.102 |
Cash | 4 806 | 18.15 | 1.52 | 7.738 | 18.647 | 26.58 |
Reve | 4 806 | 20.221 | 1.579 | 10.611 | 20.809 | 27.817 |
Tax | 4 806 | 0.161 | 1.446 | ?88.295 | 0.155 | 26.817 |
EPS | 4 806 | 0.23 | 0.605 | ?7.057 | 0.182 | 6.428 |
Leve | 4 806 | 0.61 | 0.857 | 0.101 | 0.506 | 0.951 |
Opeca | 4 806 | 19.742 | 1.126 | 11.953 | 19.802 | 24.583 |
Cashasset | 4 806 | 0.15 | 0.191 | ?0.003 | 0.11 | 10.308 |
Panel D:中介机制 | ||||||
QR | 4 806 | ?0.112 | 0.897 | ?1.307 | ?0.215 | 2.558 |
InterestCov | 4 806 | 2.316 | 1.411 | ?1.481 | 1.986 | 3.393 |
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CAR | ||||
[-1,1] | [-2,2] | |||
Risk(25%) | 0.013*(1.717) | 0.012**(2.152) | 0.015*(1.758) | 0.013**(2.303) |
Asset | ?0.005***(?2.894) | ?0.006***(?3.308) | ||
Cash | ?0.001(?0.923) | ?0.001(?7.133) | ||
Reve | ?0.001(?0.567) | ?0.002(?0.389) | ||
Tax | ?0.001(?1.258) | ?0.001(?1.326) | ||
EPS | 0.251***(7.435) | 0.227***(7.021) | ||
Leve | ?0.025(?1.533) | ?0.031(?1.468) | ||
Opeca | ?0.002(?1.497) | ?0.002(?1.328) | ||
Cashasset | ?0.016(?0.786) | ?0.021(?0.891) | ||
Constant | ?0.076***(?3.787) | 0.620***(5.211) | ?0.079***(?3.867) | 0.613***(5.336) |
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ΔROA | ||||
Risk(25%) | Z值≤1.8 | |||
MA | 0.032*(1.871) | 0.023***(5.526) | 0.013**(2.171) | 0.013***(3.141) |
Asset | ?0.027***(?3.194) | ?0.026***(?3.264) | ||
Cash | ?0.004(?1.123) | ?0.001(?0.085) | ||
Reve | ?0.002(?0.281) | ?0.006(?1.124) | ||
Tax | ?0.001(?1.222) | ?0.002**(?2.218) | ||
EPS | 0.162***(9.735) | 0.154***(9.350) | ||
Leve | ?0.028(?1.213) | ?0.005(?0.716) | ||
Opeca | ?0.004(?1.592) | ?0.003(?1.391) | ||
Cashasset | ?0.003(?0.216) | 0.002(0.227) | ||
Constant | ?0.093***(?2.678) | 0.750***(6.042) | ?0.058***(?3.299) | 0.707***(6.153) |
N | 4806 | 4806 | 5575 | 5575 |
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第一阶段 | 第二阶段 | ||||||||
ΔROA | QR | ΔROA | ΔROA | ||||||
MA | 0.032* (1.871) | 0.023*** (5.526) | ?0.463*** (?20.936) | ?0.379*** (?10.205) | 0.029* (1.871) | 0.020*** (5.526) | |||
QR | ?0.035* (?1.750) | ?0.021*** (?2.783) | ?0.016* (?1.790) | ?0.013* (?1.717) | |||||
Asset | ?0.027*** (?3.194) | ?0.182*** (?4.733) | ?0.030*** (?3.113) | ?0.032*** (?3.283) | |||||
Cash | ?0.004 (?1.123) | ?0.012 (?0.939) | ?0.003 (?0.812) | ?0.003 (?0.856) | |||||
Reve | ?0.002 (?0.281) | 0.040* (1.786) | ?0.003 (?0.501) | ?0.001 (?0.148) | |||||
Tax | ?0.001 (?1.222) | 0.003 (0.594) | ?0.002** (?2.172) | ?0.001 (?1.590) | |||||
EPS | 0.162*** (9.735) | 0.164*** (4.208) | 0.160*** (10.345) | 0.162*** (10.302) | |||||
Leve | ?0.028 (?1.213) | ?0.232** (?2.536) | ?0.030 (?1.267) | ?0.030 (?1.501) | |||||
Opeca | ?0.004 (?1.592) | 0.094*** (?4.296) | ?0.001 (?0.282) | ?0.002 (?0.585) | |||||
Cashasset | ?0.003 (?0.216) | 1.100 (1.400) | 0.006 (0.513) | 0.002 (0.337) | |||||
Constant | ?0.093*** (?2.867) | 0.750*** (6.042) | ?0.385*** (?4.987) | 1.223*** (5.015) | ?0.077 (?1.162) | 0.676*** (6.071) | ?0.083*** (?2.667) | 0.687*** (6.448) |
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第一阶段 | 第二阶段 | ||||||||
ΔROA | InterestCov | ΔROA | ΔROA | ||||||
MA | 0.032* (1.871) | 0.023*** (5.526) | 0.212*** (3.086) | 0.246*** (3.258) | 0.030* (1.871) | 0.020*** (3.865) | |||
InterestCov | 0.003*** (3.221) | 0.002*** (2.716) | 0.002*** (2.823) | 0.002** (2.331) | |||||
Asset | ?0.027*** (?3.194) | ?0.066 (?0.557) | ?0.025*** (?2.984) | ?0.029*** (?3.016) | |||||
Cash | ?0.004 (?1.123) | ?0.011 (?0.218) | 0 (?0.064) | ?0.001 (?0.345) | |||||
Reve | ?0.002 (?0.281) | ?0.017 (?0.211) | ?0.007 (?1.226) | ?0.005 (?0.768) | |||||
Tax | ?0.001 (?1.222) | ?0.031 (?1.176) | ?0.001** (?2.361) | ?0.001** (?2.318) | |||||
EPS | 0.162*** (9.735) | 0.361** (2.188) | 0.157*** (9.646) | 0.160*** (10.161) | |||||
Leve | ?0.028 (?1.213) | 0.045-0.515 | ?0.003 (?0.141) | ?0.012 (?0.467) | |||||
Opeca | ?0.004 (?1.592) | ?0.002 (?0.108) | ?0.005*** (?3.128) | ?0.004*** (?2.825) | |||||
Cashasset | ?0.003 | ?0.290 (?0.907) | ?0.006 (?0.524) | ?0.003 (?0.261) | |||||
Constant | ?0.093*** (?2.867) | 0.750*** (6.042) | 0.498*** (?3.097) | 1.468 (1.352) | ?0.054*** (?3.518) | 0.656*** (5.256) | ?0.083*** (?2.935) | 0.602*** (7.525) |
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ΔROE | ΔROA | ||||
Risk(25%) | Risk(30%) | ||||
MA | 0.038*(1.766) | 0.028***(5.875) | 0.023*(1.653) | 0.102**(2.116) | |
Asset | ?0.030***(?3.615) | ?0.031(?1.158) | |||
Cash | ?0.004(?1.130) | ?0.042**(?2.331) | |||
Reve | ?0.001(?0.135) | ?0.024(?0.736) | |||
Tax | ?0.002**(?2.135) | 0.003*(1.787) | |||
EPS | 0.155***(9.610) | 0.413***(5.235) | |||
Leve | ?0.026(?1.541) | 0.007(0.442) | |||
Opeca | ?0.003(?1.372) | ?0.017(?0.918) | |||
Cashasset | ?0.003(?0.268) | 0.066(0.829) | |||
Constant | ?0.093***(?2.865) | 0.743***(7.016) | ?0.401*(?1.861) | 1.840***(3.745) | |
N | 4 806 | 4 806 | 5 767 | 5 767 |
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ΔROA | ||||
O_Risk(25%) | Zm_Risk(30%) | |||
MA | 0.051*(1.881) | 0.058***(3.758) | 0.036*(1.793) | 0.322**(2.116) |
Asset | ?0.031**(?2.030) | ?0.053*(?1.679) | ||
Cash | ?0.002*(?1.671) | ?0.005*(?1.735) | ||
Reve | ?0.001(?0.567) | ?0.009(?0.293) | ||
Tax | ?0.002**(?2.124) | 0.008**(1.992) | ||
EPS | 0.318***(5.109) | 0.623***(4.137) | ||
Leve | ?0.035(?1.412) | 0.003(0.582) | ||
Opeca | ?0.001(?1.352) | ?0.021(?1.83) | ||
Cashasset | ?0.002(?0.661) | 0.032(0.926) | ||
Constant | ?0.078***(?3.152) | 0.631***(5.621) | ?0.511*(?1.683) | 0.861***(3.528) |
N | 4 806 | 4 806 | 5 767 | 5 767 |
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