Content of 人口与社会经济发展研究 in our journal

Published in last 1 year |  In last 2 years |  In last 3 years |  All Please wait a minute... For Selected: Download Citations EndNote Reference Manager ProCite BibTeX RefWorks Toggle Thumbnails Select Overtime Willingness and Labor Supply of Migrant workers, and Demographic Divident Kong Qingyang, Guo Bin & Li Qiongyeng Journal of East China Normal University (Philosoph    2014, 46 (3): 113-122.   Abstract （805）   HTML （4）    PDF （587KB）（1265）       Knowledge map    Migrant workers in China are willing to work extra hours.They have double futures of modern workers and traditional peasants,and the logics of their overtime working behavior is to accomplish expected wage savings.Under the constraint of expected wage surplus , wage surplus effectis more powerful than substitution effect, which make the labor supply curve downward sloping.Migrant workers’ overtime working sustain the unlimited supply of labor and strengthen the dual economic structure.This is a new annotation to Lewis dual economic structure theory.For the steep labor supply curve of migrant workers , labor supply hours reduce by the rapidly rising wages, the cost shock and labor supply shock will occur at the same time. Urbanization is a double-edged sword, it can increase aggregate demand, but also reduce the labor supply of migrant workers. We suggest to strengthen skill training of migrant workers, to accelerate the land circulation, to achieve scale managment of agriculture; to establish and perfect the social security system of rural areas, to establish the policies which is people-oriented and to share the achievements of economic development. Related Articles | Metrics Select Study on the Spatial Distribution of Population Aging and the Synchronization with Economic Development in China SUN Lei, CHANG Tian-jiao, GUO Quan-yu Journal of East China Normal University (Philosoph    2014, 46 (3): 123-132.   Abstract （837）   HTML （4）    PDF （2468KB）（2656）       Knowledge map    According to three census data in 1990, 2000 and 2010, we analyze the current situation of population aging in China and the relationship between the trends of aging and economic development. Then we use the spatial autocorrelation model and innovative economic autocorrelation model, including global and local Moran indices, Getis-ord local G, to investigate the spatial correlation and economic relevance of the regional population aging. The conclusions show that the spatial correlation and economic relevance are both significantly positive, and the aged-child ratio depends more on economic level than spatial location, which means economic development has greater influence on the regional differences of population aging than spatial location. Therefore, the government should make policies according to different economic level. Related Articles | Metrics Select A Study on the development trend of aging population and its influence factors based on Grey Theory ———Taking An Hui province as an example Jiang shi-quan Journal of East China Normal University (Philosoph    2014, 46 (3): 133-139.   Abstract （740）   HTML （9）    PDF （498KB）（1672）       Knowledge map    The aging of the population has become a huge challenge for Anhui Province,In this paper, based on statistical yearbook data in anhui province from 2001 to 2012.Using GM (1,1) model to predict the development of population aging in Anhui Province in the future forty years, Prediction results show that anhui province aging trend will experience a rapid phase, accelerated phase and stable stage of severe three stages in the next forty years.In order to better cope with an ageing population, The population aging related factors be analyzed by Using grey correlation model .Finally, the policy implications are presented combined the GM (1, 1) forecast model and relational model the result Related Articles | Metrics