华东师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版) ›› 2023, Vol. 55 ›› Issue (6): 105-119.doi: 10.16382/j.cnki.1000-5579.2023.06.010

• 城市治理与发展 • 上一篇    

超大城市老年流动人口的多维特征及其调控策略研究——以上海为例

吴连霞   

  • 接受日期:2023-10-18 出版日期:2023-11-15 发布日期:2023-11-22
  • 作者简介:吴连霞,华东师范大学社会发展学院人口研究所副教授、中国老龄协会老龄科研基地主要成员(上海,200241)
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金重大项目“胡焕庸线稳定性与中国人口均衡发展战略研究”(项目编号:18ZDA132)

The Multidimensional Characteristics and Regulation Strategies of the Elderly Floating Population in Megacities:A Case Study of Shanghai

Lian-xia WU   

  • Accepted:2023-10-18 Online:2023-11-15 Published:2023-11-22

摘要:

随着人口老龄化加剧、城市化进程加速、生活观念与生活方式改变,老年人流动行为愈发流行并成为超大城市的新现象,然而老年人不断集聚于超大城市,也对超大城市的社会经济发展以及养老服务与公共管理等带来巨大挑战。主要根据2018年上海流动人口动态监测数据,采用数理统计法和空间分析法,以上海为例,深入挖掘新时期中国超大城市老年流动人口的多维特征,可以揭示流动老人集聚引发的新问题,提出老年流动人口治理与调控的应对策略,可以为其他超大城市乃至全国老年流动人口管理及应对老龄化策略提供科学依据。研究发现,从2010年起,上海常住人口与流动人口总体规模开始同步放缓增长,而老年流动人口的数量却呈上升趋势;流动老人呈“四低一高一近”特征,即低龄、低学历、性别比偏低、社保就地报销率低,且以非农户口为主、女性丧偶率较高、长三角就近流动为主,受教育水平以初中为主且男性普遍高于女性,非农老人学历远高于农业老人。针对上海老年流动人口的新特征与新问题,应依据“流动的公共性”治理理念,建立长三角一体化战略背景下上海老年流动人口社会支持的多项公共管理与服务优化策略。

关键词: 老年流动人口, 调控策略, 超大城市, 上海

Abstract:

With the aging of the population, the acceleration of the urbanization process, and the change of life concepts and ways, the mobility of the elderly has become an increasingly popular and new phenomenon in big cities. However, the continuous gathering of the elderly in big cities has also brought great challenges to the social and economic development, elderly care service and public management of big cities. Based on the dynamic monitoring data of Shanghai floating population in 2018, this paper adopts mathematical statistics and spatial analysis method and takes Shanghai as an example to deeply explore the multidimensional characteristics of the elderly floating population in China’s big cities in the new era, which can reveal new problems caused by the agglomeration of floating elderly, and propose countermeasures for the management and regulation of the elderly floating population. It can also provide scientific basis for other big cities and even the whole country to manage the elderly floating population and cope with the issue of aging. The study finds that since 2010, the total size of permanent resident population and the size of floating population in Shanghai have begun to slow down simultaneously, while the number of elderly floating population has shown an upward trend, and the sex ratio of floating elderly is low, most of them are young and non-agricultural, the education level is mainly junior middle school and the male is generally higher than the female, and the education level of non-agricultural elderly is much higher than that of agricultural elderly. According to the new characteristics and problems of the elderly floating population in Shanghai, it is necessary to establish many public management and service optimization strategies for the social support of the elderly floating population in Shanghai under the background of the Yangtze River Delta integration strategy.

Key words: elderly floating population, regulation strategies, megacities, Shanghai