华东师范大学(哲学社会科学版) ›› 2014, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (1): 113-120.

• 房地产经济研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

房价波动收入分配效应的区域差异分析 ——基于中国省际面板数据的实证研究

张传勇   

  1. 复旦大学金融研究中心,上海,200433
  • 出版日期:2014-01-15 发布日期:2014-03-02
  • 通讯作者: 张传勇
  • 作者简介:张传勇
  • 基金资助:

    本文为国家社科基金项目（１０ＢＪＹ０４１）的阶段性研究成果。

Regional Differences on Income Distribution Effects of Price Fluctuations: Empirical Study Based on inter-Provincial Panel Data in China

ZHANG Chuan-Yong   

  • Online:2014-01-15 Published:2014-03-02
  • Contact: ZHANG Chuan-Yong
  • About author:ZHANG Chuan-Yong

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摘要： 近年来，国内房价持续性上涨尤其是局部地区房价出现阶段性大幅增长的现象及其可能引发的经济社会问题引起广泛重视。通过对2000—2010年中国东、中、西部地区27省份的面板数据进行实证分析后发现，各地区居民收入差距与房价变化率存在长期协整关系；进一步采用LSDV法对以上数据进行回归分析后发现，中国总体上及其东、西部地区收入差距与房价波动呈明显正相关，中部地区却不明显，表明房价波动的收入分配效应存在明显的区域差异性。因此，房地产宏观调控政策除抑制投机需求外，更应注重解决其根源性的收入差距拉大等社会问题，且不同的区域应当区别对待。

关键词: 房价波动, 收入差距, 区域差异

Abstract: In recent years, housing prices continued to rise, especially with rapid growth rates periodically in some areas. This phenomenon and its possible economic and social problems caused widespread attention. Based on the inter-provincial panel data of 27 provinces in central, eastern and western regions of China in 2000-2010, we found that regional income disparities and the rate of change of housing prices exists co-integration relationship. Further, our results show that distribution effects of housing price fluctuations have obvious regional differences by LSDV method, that is, income gaps and housing prices fluctuations have positively correlation in eastern and western regional ,but the correlation is not obvious the central region. Therefore, in addition to the real estate macro-control policies to curb speculative demand, we should focus on solute the widening income gap and other social problems which produce by housing prices fluctuations, and should be treated differently in different areas.

Key words: Housing price fluctuations, Income gap, Regional differences