华东师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版) ›› 2006, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (6): 66-71.doi: 10.16382/j.cnki.1000-5579.2006.06.011

• 贸易与投资问题研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国纺织品出口地理结构与出口不稳定性分析

许培源, 胡日东   

  1. 华侨大学 商学院，福建泉州 362021
  • 收稿日期:2006-08-02 出版日期:2006-11-15 发布日期:2006-11-30
  • 作者简介:许培源(1970-), 男, 福建安溪人, 华侨大学商学院国际经济与贸易系副教授, 博士|胡日东(1964-), 男, 福建永定人, 华侨大学商学院数量经济与技术经济研究所教授, 博士生导师

An Analysis of Instability of China's Textile Export

Pei-yuan XU, Ri-dong HU   

  1. School of Business, Hua Qiao University, Quanzhou 362021, China
  • Received:2006-08-02 Online:2006-11-15 Published:2006-11-30

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被引次数

28

摘要：

以地理集中化指标、出口多样化指数等为研究变量, 实证分析中国纺织品出口地理结构与其出口不稳定性的相互关系, 结果显示: 中国纺织品出口主要集中在亚洲地区, 亚洲市场的波动决定了中国纺织品出口不稳定性的大部分, 而来自亚洲市场的冲击可由其他几大洲市场部分地平抑; 不断扩大的欧美市场由于其自身的不稳定性及波动的趋势相关性, 对亚洲市场的平抑作用十分有限; 通过出口地理结构调整, 开拓新的市场尤其是非洲市场可以降低总体出口的不稳定性。

关键词: 中国, 纺织品出口, 地理集中度, 出口多样化指数, 出口不稳定性

Abstract:

This paper uses a geographic concentration index and expert diversification index to make an empirical analysis of the relationship between geographical concentration and exporting instability of China's textile.The analytical conclusion indicates that the exporting instability of China's textile is mostly caused by fluctuations of the Asian market since Claim's expert of textile concentrates on the Asian region.The instability can be partly counteracted by exporting to other continents.Due to a high correlation of fluctuating trends and their own instability, the stabilizing function of expanding European and American markets is limited.However, the exporting instability will fall greatly through adjusting the export geographic structure and developing new market, especially the African market.

Key words: China's export of textile, geographic concentration index, export diversification index, exporting instability

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