华东师范大学(哲学社会科学版) ›› 2014, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (3): 113-122.

• 人口与社会经济发展研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

农民工加班意愿、劳动供给与人口红利

孔庆洋,赵杰,郭斌,李琼英   

  1. 1.安徽师范大学经济管理学院,安徽芜湖,241003;2.安徽省委党校,安徽合肥,230022
  • 出版日期:2014-05-15 发布日期:2014-09-29
  • 通讯作者: 孔庆洋,赵杰,郭斌,李琼英
  • 作者简介:孔庆洋,赵杰,郭斌,李琼英
  • 基金资助:

    本文为教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(13YJA790040)的阶段性成果。作者感谢国家社科基金项目(09BJY066)的资助

Overtime Willingness and Labor Supply of Migrant workers, and Demographic Divident

Kong Qingyang, Guo Bin & Li Qiongyeng   

  • Online:2014-05-15 Published:2014-09-29
  • Contact: Kong Qingyang, Guo Bin & Li Qiongyeng
  • About author:Kong Qingyang, Guo Bin & Li Qiongyeng

摘要: 中国农民工有主动加班的意愿。中国农民工具有现代工人和传统小农的双重特征,其加班的行为逻辑是完成期望节余工资。农民工在期望节余工资约束下,节余工资效应大于替代效应导致劳动供给曲线向右下方倾斜。农民工的超时加班延续了劳动无限供给,强化了二元经济结构,是对刘易斯二元经济结构理论的新注解。由于农民工的劳动供给曲线陡峭,劳动供给时间减少伴随着工资迅速上升,成本冲击和劳动供给冲击将同时发生。城镇化是一把双刃剑,既能增加总需求,同时也能减少农民工的劳动供给,有关方面需要采取有针对性的对策,积极加以应对。

关键词: 农民工, 自愿加班, 小时工资, 节余工资, 人口红利

Abstract: Migrant workers in China are willing to work extra hours.They have double futures of modern workers and traditional peasants,and the logics of their overtime working behavior is to accomplish expected wage savings.Under the constraint of expected wage surplus , wage surplus effectis more powerful than substitution effect, which make the labor supply curve downward sloping.Migrant workers’ overtime working sustain the unlimited supply of labor and strengthen the dual economic structure.This is a new annotation to Lewis dual economic structure theory.For the steep labor supply curve of migrant workers , labor supply hours reduce by the rapidly rising wages, the cost shock and labor supply shock will occur at the same time. Urbanization is a double-edged sword, it can increase aggregate demand, but also reduce the labor supply of migrant workers. We suggest to strengthen skill training of migrant workers, to accelerate the land circulation, to achieve scale managment of agriculture; to establish and perfect the social security system of rural areas, to establish the policies which is people-oriented and to share the achievements of economic development.